Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 13Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Alianza Valledupar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Deportivo Cali (1,739) and Alianza Valledupar (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Alianza Valledupar have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| May 24, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Cucuta(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 2-3 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportivo Cali win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Alianza Valledupar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Deportivo Cali 1-0 Alianza Valledupar | Copa Colombia |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Deportivo Cali 0-1 Alianza Valledupar | Primera A |
| May 11, 2025 | Alianza Valledupar 2-0 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Jul 22, 2024 | Deportivo Cali 1-0 Alianza Valledupar | Primera A |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Alianza Valledupar 3-3 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Alianza Valledupar | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Cali sit 9th in Primera A (27 points from 19 matches) and Alianza Valledupar sit 17th (17 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 17 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Alianza Valledupar.
- Where and when is Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar played?
- Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Cali, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 4, 2026MillonariosvsOnce Caldas
- Oct 4, 2026Deportivo PastovsFortaleza FC
- Oct 4, 2026Independiente MedellinvsSanta Fe
- Oct 4, 2026BucaramangavsJunior
- Oct 4, 2026Internacional de BogotavsAtletico Nacional
- Oct 4, 2026Deportes TolimavsChico
- Oct 4, 2026Águilas DoradasvsJaguares
- Oct 4, 2026LlanerosvsAmerica de Cali