Match

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 13Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira

Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Alianza Valledupar. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Deportivo Cali (1,739) and Alianza Valledupar (1,646).

Deportivo Cali win60 %
Draw26 %
Alianza Valledupar win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Alianza Valledupar have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Cali
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)2-2Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Pasto(away)2-0Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)0-1Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Jaguares(home)2-0Primera A
May 24, 2026Real Santander(away)2-1Copa Colombia
Alianza Valledupar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Cucuta(away)0-1Primera A
Aug 22, 2026Deportivo Pereira(home)0-0Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Bucaramanga(home)2-3Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Deportes Tolima(home)1-2Primera A
Jul 26, 2026Fortaleza FC(home)1-1Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportivo Cali win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Alianza Valledupar win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 21, 2026Deportivo Cali 1-0 Alianza ValleduparCopa Colombia
Mar 22, 2026Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Oct 28, 2025Deportivo Cali 0-1 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
May 11, 2025Alianza Valledupar 2-0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Jul 22, 2024Deportivo Cali 1-0 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
Jan 27, 2024Alianza Valledupar 3-3 Deportivo CaliPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar on May 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Deportivo Cali1.50.766/154/15
Alianza Valledupar1.11.148/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Cali sit 9th in Primera A (27 points from 19 matches) and Alianza Valledupar sit 17th (17 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Deportivo Cali4211637
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
17Alianza Valledupar19388132717
17Alianza Valledupar5023472
17Alianza Valledupar19388132717

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Alianza Valledupar.
Where and when is Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar played?
Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Cali, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Deportivo Cali and Alianza Valledupar

Ready to know everything about football?