Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 13Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta
The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Deportivo Pereira. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Cucuta (1,641) and Deportivo Pereira (1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cucuta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Pereira have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Llaneros(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| May 26, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 1-0 | Copa Colombia |
| May 21, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cucuta win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Pereira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Cucuta | Primera A |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Deportivo Pereira 2-0 Cucuta | Primera A |
| Aug 21, 2018 | Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Cucuta | Primera B |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Cucuta 2-1 Deportivo Pereira | Primera B |
| Jul 30, 2017 | Cucuta 0-2 Deportivo Pereira | Primera B |
| May 30, 2017 | Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Cucuta | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Pereira vs Cucuta on Mar 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Pereira score 0.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Deportivo Pereira | 0.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cucuta sit 19th in Primera A (16 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Pereira sit 20th (10 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cucuta | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira?
- The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Deportivo Pereira.
- Where and when is Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira played?
- Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 4, 2026MillonariosvsOnce Caldas
- Oct 4, 2026Deportivo PastovsFortaleza FC
- Oct 4, 2026Deportivo CalivsAlianza Valledupar
- Oct 4, 2026Independiente MedellinvsSanta Fe
- Oct 4, 2026BucaramangavsJunior
- Oct 4, 2026Internacional de BogotavsAtletico Nacional
- Oct 4, 2026Deportes TolimavsChico
- Oct 4, 2026Águilas DoradasvsJaguares