Where and when is Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC played?

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Departamental Libertad, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 13Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Departamental Libertad, San Juan de Pasto

Deportivo Pasto

Fortaleza FC

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Pasto the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Fortaleza FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Deportivo Pasto (1,662) and Fortaleza FC (1,677).

Deportivo Pasto win46 %

Draw30 %

Fortaleza FC win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Pasto have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Fortaleza FC have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Pasto
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Llaneros(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Cali(home)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Millonarios(away)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Águilas Doradas(home)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Bogota FC(away)	3-0	Copa Colombia

Fortaleza FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Atletico Nacional(home)	1-2	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Cucuta(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Llaneros(away)	1-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	1-1	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Deportivo Pasto win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fortaleza FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 25, 2026	Fortaleza FC 1-2 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A
Oct 24, 2025	Fortaleza FC 2-0 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A
May 4, 2025	Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Sep 15, 2024	Fortaleza FC 0-0 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A
Mar 5, 2024	Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Nov 6, 2016	Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Fortaleza FC	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto on Mar 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Pasto score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Pasto	1.0	1.6	3	6/15	7/15
Fortaleza FC	1.2	1.1	4	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd in Primera A (34 points from 19 matches) and Fortaleza FC sit 15th (22 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	34
7	Deportivo Pasto	21	10	4	7	29	28	34
13	Fortaleza FC	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22
19	Deportivo Pasto	5	0	0	5	3	10	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC?: The Footlab model makes Deportivo Pasto the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Fortaleza FC.
Where and when is Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC played?: Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Departamental Libertad, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.