Where and when is Bucaramanga vs Junior played?

Bucaramanga vs Junior is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Américo Montanini, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bucaramanga vs Junior: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 13Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga

Bucaramanga

Junior

The Footlab model makes Bucaramanga the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Junior. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bucaramanga vs Junior?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Bucaramanga (1,740) and Junior (1,787).

Bucaramanga win48 %

Draw28 %

Junior win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucaramanga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Junior have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bucaramanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	3-2	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Cucuta(home)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 31, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Millonarios(away)	1-0	Primera A

Junior
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Once Caldas(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Millonarios(home)	0-1	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Barranquilla(away)	3-3	Copa Colombia
Jul 26, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 23, 2026	Barranquilla(home)	2-2	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bucaramanga win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Junior win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 24, 2026	Junior 2-0 Bucaramanga	Primera A
Aug 18, 2025	Junior 2-1 Bucaramanga	Primera A
Mar 1, 2025	Bucaramanga 1-1 Junior	Primera A
Jul 18, 2024	Bucaramanga 1-0 Junior	Primera A
May 26, 2024	Junior 1-0 Bucaramanga	Primera A
May 11, 2024	Bucaramanga 0-0 Junior	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Junior vs Bucaramanga on Mar 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bucaramanga score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bucaramanga	1.5	1.4	4	8/15	8/15
Junior	1.5	1.5	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bucaramanga sit 13th in Primera A (23 points from 19 matches) and Junior sit 2nd (35 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	35
2	Junior	25	13	5	7	38	28	44
5	Bucaramanga	5	2	3	0	6	4	9
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	23
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	23
18	Junior	3	0	1	2	2	4	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bucaramanga vs Junior?: The Footlab model makes Bucaramanga the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Junior.
Where and when is Bucaramanga vs Junior played?: Bucaramanga vs Junior is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Américo Montanini, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.