Algar vs El Palmar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar
The Footlab AI model makes El Palmar the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1. If El Palmar wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algar vs El Palmar?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Algar (1,576) and El Palmar (1,669).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Algar vs El Palmar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Algar
4-3-3- AAdrian Marty
- AAlejandro Martin
- NNasta
- MMichel Vidal
- MManuel Rodriguez
- SSergio Jiménez
- CChiqui
- LLázaro Rubio Nicolás
- DDani Ruiz
- JJuan Gavilánez
- GGuillermo Yepes Moreno
El Palmar
Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; El Palmar have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Algar win, 1 draw, 0 El Palmar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Algar 3-2 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | El Palmar 1-1 Algar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Algar score 0.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algar | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| El Palmar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Algar | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Algar vs El Palmar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algar vs El Palmar?
- The Footlab AI model makes El Palmar the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Algar.
- Where and when is Algar vs El Palmar played?
- Algar vs El Palmar is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 28, 2027Los GarresvsBala Azul
- Mar 28, 2027SFC MinervavsUnión Molinense
- Mar 28, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsSanta Cruz
- Mar 28, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsOlímpico Totana
- Mar 28, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsMazarrón FC
- Mar 28, 2027SantomeravsÁguilas II
- Mar 28, 2027Bullas DeportivovsAlcantarilla
- Mar 28, 2027San JaviervsAtlético Pulpileño