SFC Minerva vs El Palmar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Secante, Alumbres
The Footlab AI model makes SFC Minerva the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-1. If SFC Minerva wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SFC Minerva vs El Palmar?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate SFC Minerva (1,702) and El Palmar (1,660).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SFC Minerva vs El Palmar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SFC Minerva
Not enough data to predict the SFC Minerva lineup.
El Palmar
Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SFC Minerva have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; El Palmar have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SFC Minerva wins, 1 draw, 2 El Palmar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva 3-2 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | El Palmar 0-1 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 11, 2025 | El Palmar 3-4 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SFC Minerva 0-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 14, 2021 | SFC Minerva 0-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 13, 2020 | El Palmar 1-1 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: SFC Minerva vs El Palmar on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| El Palmar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SFC Minerva | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
A question about SFC Minerva vs El Palmar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SFC Minerva vs El Palmar?
- The Footlab AI model makes SFC Minerva the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is SFC Minerva vs El Palmar played?
- SFC Minerva vs El Palmar is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Secante, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Los GarresvsÁguilas II
- Oct 25, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsAlcantarilla
- Oct 25, 2026Unión MolinensevsBala Azul
- Oct 25, 2026AlgarvsMazarrón FC
- Oct 25, 2026Balsicas AtléticovsCartagena LU II
- Oct 25, 2026SantomeravsSan Javier
- Oct 25, 2026Santa CruzvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Oct 25, 2026Bullas DeportivovsOlímpico Totana