Gimnastic vs Hércules: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Costa Daurada, Tarragona
The Footlab AI model makes Hércules the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Gimnastic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hércules wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnastic vs Hércules?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Gimnastic (1,780) and Hércules (1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gimnastic vs Hércules
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gimnastic
4-3-3- 19Joan Prohens
- 12S. Bakış
- 20C. Segura
- 8Marc Montalvo
- 16M. Babanzila
- 10Eugeni Valderrama
- 23Manel Royo
- 22Joseda
- 21I. Athuman
- 2O. Subirats
- 1Gaizka Ayesa
Hércules
4-3-3- 20Andy
- 22Víctor Narro
- 8Manu Rico
- 18Alejandro Fidalgo
- 37M. Puch-Herrantz
- 14N. Ben Hamed
- 2Samu Vázquez
- 4Javier Rentero
- 23Javi Jiménez
- 15Yago Cantero
- 13A. Blazic
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnastic have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hércules have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 4-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Europa Fc(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Gimnastic wins, 2 draws, 1 Hércules win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Hércules 1-1 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Gimnastic 2-2 Hércules | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 22, 2019 | Gimnastic 0-2 Hércules | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Hércules vs Gimnastic on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnastic score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hércules score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Hércules | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnastic sit 14th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 6 matches) and Hércules sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hércules | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Gimnastic vs Hércules?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnastic vs Hércules?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hércules the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Gimnastic.
- Where and when is Gimnastic vs Hércules played?
- Gimnastic vs Hércules is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Costa Daurada, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.