Los Garres vs El Palmar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia
The Footlab model makes Los Garres the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Garres vs El Palmar?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Los Garres (1,580) and El Palmar (1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; El Palmar have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Elche(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Manises(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Manises(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| May 1, 2022 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 22, 2022 | UD Caravaca(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Los Garres win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 El Palmar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | El Palmar 3-0 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 13, 2021 | Los Garres 1-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 14, 2021 | El Palmar 0-2 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Los Garres 1-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 5, 2020 | El Palmar 1-0 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: El Palmar vs Los Garres on Feb 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; El Palmar score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Garres | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| El Palmar | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 48 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs El Palmar?
- The Footlab model makes Los Garres the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is Los Garres vs El Palmar played?
- Los Garres vs El Palmar is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026SFC MinervavsSanta Cruz
- Nov 8, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsBala Azul
- Nov 8, 2026Cartagena LU IIvsSan Javier
- Nov 8, 2026Unión MolinensevsAtlético Pulpileño
- Nov 8, 2026AlgarvsAlcantarilla
- Nov 8, 2026Balsicas AtléticovsOlímpico Totana
- Nov 8, 2026SantomeravsMazarrón FC
- Nov 8, 2026Bullas DeportivovsÁguilas II