Match

El Palmar vs Algar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, El Palmar

El PalmarAlgar

The Footlab AI model makes El Palmar the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1. If El Palmar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win El Palmar vs Algar?

On Elo ratings, El Palmar has 1,657 points and Algar 1,564.

52%26%22%
El Palmar winDrawAlgar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for El Palmar vs Algar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

El Palmar

Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.

Algar

4-3-3
  1. AAdrian Marty
  2. AAlejandro Martin
  3. NNasta
  1. MMichel Vidal
  2. MManuel Rodriguez
  3. SSergio Jiménez
  1. CChiqui
  2. LLázaro Rubio Nicolás
  3. DDani Ruiz
  4. JJuan Gavilánez
  1. GGuillermo Yepes Moreno

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:35 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Palmar have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Algar have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

El Palmar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Mazarrón FC(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026SFC Minerva(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026Águilas II(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026UCAM Murcia II(home)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Algar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026San Javier(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 4, 2026Cartagena LU II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 27, 2026Balsicas Atlético(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 20, 2026Santomera(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 13, 2026Bullas Deportivo(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 El Palmar wins, 1 draw, 1 Algar win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 21, 2024Algar 3-2 El PalmarTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 3, 2023El Palmar 1-1 AlgarTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Algar vs El Palmar on Apr 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Algar score 0.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
El Palmar0.91.757/1510/15
Algar0.82.416/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Algar61053133

A question about El Palmar vs Algar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for El Palmar vs Algar?
The Footlab AI model makes El Palmar the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Algar.
Where and when is El Palmar vs Algar played?
El Palmar vs Algar is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: El Palmar and Algar

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