Where and when is El Palmar vs Algar played?

El Palmar vs Algar is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

El Palmar vs Algar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, El Palmar

El Palmar

Algar

The Footlab model makes Algar the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win El Palmar vs Algar?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate El Palmar (1,640) and Algar (1,594).

El Palmar win35 %

Draw29 %

Algar win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Palmar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Algar have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

El Palmar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	SFC Minerva(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	Águilas II(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	UCAM Murcia II(home)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Mazarrón FC(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Algar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2024	Plus Ultra(home)	4-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 5, 2024	Bullense(away)	0-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 1, 2024	Alcantarilla(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2024	Cieza(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 21, 2024	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 El Palmar win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Algar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 21, 2024	Algar 3-2 El Palmar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 3, 2023	El Palmar 1-1 Algar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Algar vs El Palmar on Apr 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

El Palmar score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
El Palmar	0.8	1.7	5	6/15	9/15
Algar	1.1	2.3	2	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	El Palmar	34	8	8	18	27	48	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for El Palmar vs Algar?: The Footlab model makes Algar the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for El Palmar.
Where and when is El Palmar vs Algar played?: El Palmar vs Algar is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.