El Palmar vs Algar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, El Palmar
The Footlab AI model makes El Palmar the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1. If El Palmar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Palmar vs Algar?
On Elo ratings, El Palmar has 1,657 points and Algar 1,564.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for El Palmar vs Algar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
El Palmar
Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.
Algar
4-3-3- AAdrian Marty
- AAlejandro Martin
- NNasta
- MMichel Vidal
- MManuel Rodriguez
- SSergio Jiménez
- CChiqui
- LLázaro Rubio Nicolás
- DDani Ruiz
- JJuan Gavilánez
- GGuillermo Yepes Moreno
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Palmar have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Algar have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 El Palmar wins, 1 draw, 1 Algar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Algar 3-2 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | El Palmar 1-1 Algar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Algar score 0.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Palmar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Algar | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Algar | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
A question about El Palmar vs Algar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Palmar vs Algar?
- The Footlab AI model makes El Palmar the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Algar.
- Where and when is El Palmar vs Algar played?
- El Palmar vs Algar is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsSan Javier
- Nov 15, 2026Mazarrón FCvsBalsicas Atlético
- Nov 15, 2026Olímpico TotanavsCartagena LU II
- Nov 15, 2026Bala AzulvsLos Garres
- Nov 15, 2026AlcantarillavsBullas Deportivo
- Nov 15, 2026Unión MolinensevsSFC Minerva
- Nov 15, 2026Águilas IIvsSantomera
- Nov 15, 2026Santa CruzvsUCAM Murcia II