Where and when is Alhaurino vs Melilla played?

Alhaurino vs Melilla is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alhaurino vs Melilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, Alhaurín el Grande

Alhaurino

Melilla

The Footlab model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Melilla. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alhaurino vs Melilla?

Melilla starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,702).

Alhaurino win38 %

Draw30 %

Melilla win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alhaurino have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Melilla have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alhaurino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Mancha Real(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Arenas Armilla(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Churriana Vega(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Torreperogil(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Melilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Málaga II(away)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Linares Deportivo(home)	2-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Recreativo Huelva(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Águilas(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Estepona(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Melilla score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alhaurino	1.2	1.0	5	7/15	6/15
Melilla	1.2	1.5	2	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Alhaurino	34	11	10	13	41	41	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alhaurino vs Melilla?: The Footlab model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Melilla.
Where and when is Alhaurino vs Melilla played?: Alhaurino vs Melilla is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.