Málaga II vs Granada II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga
The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Granada II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Málaga II vs Granada II?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Málaga II (1,775) and Granada II (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Granada II have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Antoniano(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Málaga II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Granada II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2021 | Málaga II 2-1 Granada II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Granada II on Aug 17, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Granada II score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga II | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Granada II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Granada II | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Granada II?
- The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Granada II.
- Where and when is Málaga II vs Granada II played?
- Málaga II vs Granada II is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.