Match

Málaga II vs Melilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga

Málaga IIMelilla

The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Melilla wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Málaga II vs Melilla?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Málaga II (1,791) and Melilla (1,850).

34%26%40%
Málaga II winDrawMelilla win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Málaga II vs Melilla

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Málaga II

4-3-3
  1. JJuani
  2. JJuanma Hernández
  3. RRubén Sánchez
  1. 32Rafael Garrido
  2. 44Jesús Martin
  3. AAlejandro Valcarce
  1. 38Pablo Arriaza
  2. 32Miguel Ángel
  3. ÁÁngel Recio
  4. IIván Benito Mancera
  1. 30Andrés Céspedes

Melilla

4-3-3
  1. 10Víctor Morillo
  2. 21Carlos Bravo
  3. BB. Kavtaradze
  1. AAdrián Tovar
  2. 19Armando
  3. 19Iván Ramos
  1. 4Manuel Galán
  2. 3Fran Varela
  3. 3Lolo González
  4. DDiego Ceballos
  1. EEdua Loscos

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Melilla have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Málaga II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Almería II(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 3, 2026Granada II(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 26, 2026Atletico de Marbella(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Cantoria(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 12, 2026Atlético Porcuna(home)6-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Melilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026UD San Pedro(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Alhaurino(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Malaga City(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Torre del Mar(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 12, 2026Huétor Vega(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Málaga II wins, 1 draw, 1 Melilla win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Málaga II 3-3 MelillaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 19, 2025Melilla 2-1 Málaga IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Melilla on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Málaga II score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Melilla score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Málaga II1.71.9210/1512/15
Melilla1.61.147/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Málaga II sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (10 points from 6 matches) and Melilla sit 1st (18 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Melilla660013318
6Málaga II631212610

A question about Málaga II vs Melilla?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Melilla?
The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Málaga II.
Where and when is Málaga II vs Melilla played?
Málaga II vs Melilla is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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