Match

Málaga II vs Melilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga

Málaga IIMelilla

The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Melilla. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Málaga II vs Melilla?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Málaga II (1,775) and Melilla (1,808).

Málaga II win42 %
Draw27 %
Melilla win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Melilla have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Málaga II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Melilla(home)3-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Puente Genil(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026Antoniano(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Ucam Murcia(away)0-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026Real Jaén(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Melilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Málaga II(away)3-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Linares Deportivo(home)2-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Águilas(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Estepona(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Málaga II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Melilla win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Málaga II 3-3 MelillaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 19, 2025Melilla 2-1 Málaga IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Melilla on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Melilla score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Málaga II1.32.3013/1513/15
Melilla1.21.528/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Melilla?
The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Melilla.
Where and when is Málaga II vs Melilla played?
Málaga II vs Melilla is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Málaga II and Melilla

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