Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Juan Pablo II College the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Deportivo Garcilaso. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Deportivo Garcilaso starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juan Pablo II College have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Deportivo Garcilaso have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ADT(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cusco(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cienciano(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ADT(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Juan Pablo II College win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Deportivo Garcilaso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1 Juan Pablo II College | Primera División |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Juan Pablo II College 0-1 Deportivo Garcilaso | Primera División |
| May 25, 2025 | Deportivo Garcilaso 4-0 Juan Pablo II College | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Garcilaso vs Juan Pablo II College on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juan Pablo II College score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.6 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo II College | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 1.6 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juan Pablo II College sit 18th in Primera División (16 points from 17 matches) and Deportivo Garcilaso sit 7th (26 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 39 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 26 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II College | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 47 | 24 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
- The Footlab model makes Juan Pablo II College the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Deportivo Garcilaso.
- Where and when is Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso played?
- Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026UTC CajamarcavsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Nov 14, 2026Sporting CristalvsCienciano
- Nov 14, 2026Alianza LimavsFC Cajamarca
- Nov 14, 2026Sport HuancayovsUniversitario
- Nov 14, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsSport Boys
- Nov 14, 2026Alianza AtleticovsFBC Melgar
- Nov 14, 2026CuscovsADT
- Nov 14, 2026UCV MoqueguavsAtletico Grau