Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Cienciano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Cristal wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,850 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano?
On Elo ratings, Sporting Cristal has 1,766 points and Cienciano 1,710.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Cristal
4-2-3-1- 29H. Barcos
- 23M. Castro
- 7S. González
- 16L. Iberico
- 6A. Álvarez
- 19Y. Yotún
- 8L. Sosa
- 5R. Lutiger
- 20M. Araujo
- 90Cris Silva
- 1D. Enríquez
Cienciano
4-2-3-1- 21C. Garcés
- 11N. Bandiera
- 7C. Souza
- 5S. Arias
- 88G. Barreto
- 29A. Robles
- 3K. Becerra
- 4M. Amondarain
- 16M. Martinich
- 13C. Núñez
- 1G. Falcón
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 08:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Cristal have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Cienciano have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ADT(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 2, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Alianza Lima(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 8, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting Cristal wins, 2 draws, 2 Cienciano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Cienciano 3-2 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Sporting Cristal 2-1 Cienciano | Primera División |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Cienciano 1-1 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Sporting Cristal 5-1 Cienciano | Primera División |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Cienciano 2-2 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Cienciano 1-0 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Cristal score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cienciano score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Cienciano | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Cristal sit 6th in Primera División (50 points from 32 matches) and Cienciano sit 7th (50 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 62 | 47 | 50 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 53 | 44 | 50 |
A question about Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Cienciano.
- Where and when is Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano played?
- Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026UTC CajamarcavsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Nov 14, 2026Alianza LimavsFC Cajamarca
- Nov 14, 2026Sport HuancayovsUniversitario
- Nov 14, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsSport Boys
- Nov 14, 2026Alianza AtleticovsFBC Melgar
- Nov 14, 2026CuscovsADT
- Nov 14, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Nov 14, 2026UCV MoqueguavsAtletico Grau