Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
The Footlab model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Cienciano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Sporting Cristal (1,734) and Cienciano (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Cristal have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cienciano have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 30, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sport Boys(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 6-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting Cristal win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cienciano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Cienciano 3-2 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Sporting Cristal 2-1 Cienciano | Primera División |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Cienciano 1-1 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Sporting Cristal 5-1 Cienciano | Primera División |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Cienciano 2-2 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Cienciano 1-0 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Cristal score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cienciano score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Cienciano | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Cristal sit 12th in Primera División (19 points from 17 matches) and Cienciano sit 3rd (33 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 33 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 33 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 33 | 37 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 29 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 19 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 19 |
| 16 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Cienciano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Cienciano.
- Where and when is Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano played?
- Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026UTC CajamarcavsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Nov 14, 2026Alianza LimavsFC Cajamarca
- Nov 14, 2026Sport HuancayovsUniversitario
- Nov 14, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsSport Boys
- Nov 14, 2026Alianza AtleticovsFBC Melgar
- Nov 14, 2026CuscovsADT
- Nov 14, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Nov 14, 2026UCV MoqueguavsAtletico Grau