Cusco vs ADT: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
The Footlab model makes Cusco the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for ADT. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cusco vs ADT?
Cusco starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,704 vs 1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cusco have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; ADT have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sport Boys(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cusco win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 ADT win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | ADT 1-2 Cusco | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Cusco 0-2 ADT | Primera División |
| Apr 28, 2025 | ADT 2-1 Cusco | Primera División |
| Sep 17, 2024 | ADT 1-2 Cusco | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Cusco 3-2 ADT | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Cusco 1-0 ADT | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cusco score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; ADT score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cusco | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| ADT | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cusco sit 6th in Primera División (27 points from 17 matches) and ADT sit 10th (20 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 7 | Cusco | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 35 | 36 |
| 9 | Cusco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Cusco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
| 16 | ADT | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 22 |
| 18 | ADT | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | ADT | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cusco vs ADT?
- The Footlab model makes Cusco the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for ADT.
- Where and when is Cusco vs ADT played?
- Cusco vs ADT is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026UTC CajamarcavsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Nov 14, 2026Sporting CristalvsCienciano
- Nov 14, 2026Alianza LimavsFC Cajamarca
- Nov 14, 2026Sport HuancayovsUniversitario
- Nov 14, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsSport Boys
- Nov 14, 2026Alianza AtleticovsFBC Melgar
- Nov 14, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Nov 14, 2026UCV MoqueguavsAtletico Grau