Match

Cusco vs ADT: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

CuscoADT

The Footlab model makes Cusco the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for ADT. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cusco vs ADT?

Cusco starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,704 vs 1,599).

Cusco win59 %
Draw23 %
ADT win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cusco have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; ADT have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cusco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso(away)1-4Primera División
Aug 14, 2026Juan Pablo II College(home)2-0Primera División
Aug 7, 2026Comerciantes Unidos(away)1-3Primera División
Aug 1, 2026UTC Cajamarca(home)4-1Primera División
Jul 25, 2026Universitario(away)1-2Primera División
ADT
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Juan Pablo II College(away)1-5Primera División
Aug 15, 2026Alianza Atletico(home)1-1Primera División
Aug 8, 2026UTC Cajamarca(away)1-1Primera División
Aug 2, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso(home)0-1Primera División
Jul 25, 2026Sport Boys(away)0-2Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cusco win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 ADT win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026ADT 1-2 CuscoPrimera División
Sep 23, 2025Cusco 0-2 ADTPrimera División
Apr 28, 2025ADT 2-1 CuscoPrimera División
Sep 17, 2024ADT 1-2 CuscoPrimera División
Apr 15, 2024Cusco 3-2 ADTPrimera División
Sep 2, 2023Cusco 1-0 ADTPrimera División

Last archived meeting: ADT vs Cusco on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cusco score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; ADT score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cusco1.51.7310/1510/15
ADT1.21.348/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cusco sit 6th in Primera División (27 points from 17 matches) and ADT sit 10th (20 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Cusco17836212427
6Cusco17836212427
7Cusco231139343536
9Cusco42021076
9Cusco630313119
10ADT17557222120
10ADT17557222120
16ADT235711263322
18ADT4013261
18ADT60244122

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cusco vs ADT?
The Footlab model makes Cusco the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for ADT.
Where and when is Cusco vs ADT played?
Cusco vs ADT is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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