UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca
The Footlab model makes UTC Cajamarca the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Club Deportivo Los Chankas starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,678 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UTC Cajamarca have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Club Deportivo Los Chankas have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-1 | Copa De La Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alianza Lima(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADT(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FBC Melgar(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 UTC Cajamarca win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2-2 UTC Cajamarca | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2025 | UTC Cajamarca 2-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
| May 11, 2025 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2-1 UTC Cajamarca | Primera División |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-1 UTC Cajamarca | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2024 | UTC Cajamarca 2-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UTC Cajamarca on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UTC Cajamarca score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Club Deportivo Los Chankas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTC Cajamarca | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UTC Cajamarca sit 13th in Primera División (18 points from 17 matches) and Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 2nd (34 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 33 | 41 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
- The Footlab model makes UTC Cajamarca the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
- Where and when is UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas played?
- UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Sporting CristalvsCienciano
- Nov 14, 2026Alianza LimavsFC Cajamarca
- Nov 14, 2026Sport HuancayovsUniversitario
- Nov 14, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsSport Boys
- Nov 14, 2026Alianza AtleticovsFBC Melgar
- Nov 14, 2026CuscovsADT
- Nov 14, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Nov 14, 2026UCV MoqueguavsAtletico Grau