Where and when is Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas played?

Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 14Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar

Alianza Valledupar

Águilas Doradas

The Footlab model makes Alianza Valledupar the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Águilas Doradas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Alianza Valledupar (1,659) and Águilas Doradas (1,732).

Alianza Valledupar win36 %

Draw30 %

Águilas Doradas win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alianza Valledupar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Águilas Doradas have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alianza Valledupar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Cucuta(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	2-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportes Tolima(home)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Fortaleza FC(home)	1-1	Primera A

Águilas Doradas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Millonarios(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(away)	2-1	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Santa Fe(home)	2-1	Primera A
May 26, 2026	Real Soacha(away)	2-2	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alianza Valledupar win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Águilas Doradas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 27, 2026	Águilas Doradas 1-0 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Oct 18, 2025	Águilas Doradas 1-0 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Jun 4, 2025	Alianza Valledupar 4-0 Águilas Doradas	Copa Colombia
Apr 26, 2025	Alianza Valledupar 0-0 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Nov 6, 2024	Alianza Valledupar 3-0 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Apr 17, 2024	Águilas Doradas 4-0 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar on Mar 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas Doradas score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alianza Valledupar	1.1	1.1	4	8/15	7/15
Águilas Doradas	1.4	1.4	2	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alianza Valledupar sit 17th in Primera A (17 points from 19 matches) and Águilas Doradas sit 12th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Águilas Doradas	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17
17	Alianza Valledupar	5	0	2	3	4	7	2
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas?: The Footlab model makes Alianza Valledupar the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Águilas Doradas.
Where and when is Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas played?: Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.