Where and when is Chico vs Cucuta played?

Chico vs Cucuta is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Independencia, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chico vs Cucuta: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 14Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Independencia, Tunja

Chico

Cucuta

The Footlab model makes Chico the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Cucuta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chico vs Cucuta?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Chico (1,582) and Cucuta (1,637).

Chico win42 %

Draw30 %

Cucuta win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chico have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cucuta have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chico
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Jaguares(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Santa Fe(away)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	America de Cali(away)	0-7	Primera A
May 27, 2026	Llaneros(home)	0-1	Copa Colombia
May 23, 2026	Millonarios(away)	2-2	Copa Colombia

Cucuta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Independiente Medellin(away)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Fortaleza FC(away)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Bucaramanga(away)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 27, 2026	Once Caldas(away)	1-5	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chico win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Cucuta win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Cucuta 1-0 Chico	Primera A
Aug 9, 2022	Cucuta 1-2 Chico	Primera B
Sep 27, 2020	Chico 0-2 Cucuta	Primera A
Jul 2, 2017	Cucuta 3-0 Chico	Primera B
Jun 4, 2017	Cucuta 4-2 Chico	Primera B
Jun 2, 2017	Chico 5-2 Cucuta	Primera B

Last archived meeting: Cucuta vs Chico on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chico score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chico	0.8	1.7	5	2/15	6/15
Cucuta	0.7	1.3	6	6/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chico sit 18th in Primera A (17 points from 19 matches) and Cucuta sit 19th (16 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Cucuta	5	1	2	2	4	9	5
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	16
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	16
20	Chico	3	0	0	3	0	10	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chico vs Cucuta?: The Footlab model makes Chico the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Cucuta.
Where and when is Chico vs Cucuta played?: Chico vs Cucuta is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Independencia, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.