Where and when is Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios played?

Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Cota, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 14Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Cota, Cota

Fortaleza FC

Millonarios

The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Fortaleza FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios?

Millonarios starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,677).

Fortaleza FC win31 %

Draw29 %

Millonarios win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Millonarios have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortaleza FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Atletico Nacional(home)	1-2	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Cucuta(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Llaneros(away)	1-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	1-1	Primera A

Millonarios
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Águilas Doradas(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Junior(away)	1-0	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	0-1	Primera A
Jul 18, 2026	Colo Colo(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fortaleza FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Millonarios win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2026	Millonarios 2-2 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Sep 21, 2025	Millonarios 3-2 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Apr 6, 2025	Fortaleza FC 0-2 Millonarios	Primera A
Oct 17, 2024	Millonarios 2-1 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Mar 31, 2024	Fortaleza FC 1-2 Millonarios	Primera A
Aug 18, 2022	Fortaleza FC 2-3 Millonarios	Copa Colombia

Last archived meeting: Millonarios vs Fortaleza FC on Mar 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fortaleza FC	1.2	1.1	4	9/15	6/15
Millonarios	1.9	1.0	5	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortaleza FC sit 15th in Primera A (22 points from 19 matches) and Millonarios sit 10th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Millonarios	4	2	1	1	4	2	7
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	26
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	26
13	Fortaleza FC	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios?: The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Fortaleza FC.
Where and when is Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios played?: Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Cota, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.