Where and when is Once Caldas vs Llaneros played?

Once Caldas vs Llaneros is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Palogrande, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Once Caldas vs Llaneros: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 14Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Palogrande, Manizales

Once Caldas

Llaneros

The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Llaneros. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Once Caldas vs Llaneros?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Once Caldas (1,818) and Llaneros (1,720).

Once Caldas win60 %

Draw24 %

Llaneros win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Once Caldas have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Llaneros have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Once Caldas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Junior(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Jaguares(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 6, 2026	America de Cali(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 3, 2026	Santa Fe(away)	2-2	Primera A
Jul 30, 2026	Envigado(away)	3-0	Copa Colombia

Llaneros
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(away)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Águilas Doradas(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Fortaleza FC(home)	3-1	Primera A
Jul 31, 2026	Bucaramanga(away)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 24, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	1-0	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Once Caldas win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Llaneros win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 30, 2026	Llaneros 1-1 Once Caldas	Primera A
Oct 19, 2025	Llaneros 2-0 Once Caldas	Primera A
Mar 27, 2025	Once Caldas 1-0 Llaneros	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Llaneros vs Once Caldas on Mar 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Once Caldas score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Llaneros score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Once Caldas	1.6	0.9	4	9/15	7/15
Llaneros	1.1	0.8	6	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Once Caldas sit 5th in Primera A (33 points from 19 matches) and Llaneros sit 14th (22 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	7	3	11
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	33
5	Once Caldas	21	8	10	3	33	25	34
9	Once Caldas	5	1	3	1	9	6	6
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	22
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	22

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Once Caldas vs Llaneros?: The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Llaneros.
Where and when is Once Caldas vs Llaneros played?: Once Caldas vs Llaneros is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Palogrande, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.