Junior vs Internacional de Bogota: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 14Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Internacional de Bogota. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Junior vs Internacional de Bogota?
Junior starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,648).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Junior have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Internacional de Bogota have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 3-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cucuta(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Junior win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Internacional de Bogota win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota 0-1 Junior | Primera A |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Junior 1-1 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Internacional de Bogota 0-1 Junior | Primera A |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Internacional de Bogota 1-0 Junior | Primera A |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Junior 1-0 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Internacional de Bogota 0-0 Junior | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Internacional de Bogota vs Junior on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Internacional de Bogota score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Internacional de Bogota | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Junior sit 2nd in Primera A (35 points from 19 matches) and Internacional de Bogota sit 8th (28 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Junior | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 44 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 28 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Junior vs Internacional de Bogota?
- The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Internacional de Bogota.
- Where and when is Junior vs Internacional de Bogota played?
- Junior vs Internacional de Bogota is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 11, 2026Atletico NacionalvsDeportivo Pasto
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- Oct 11, 2026Santa FevsBucaramanga
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