Match

Junior vs Internacional de Bogota: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 14Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla

JuniorInternacional de Bogota

The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Internacional de Bogota. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Junior vs Internacional de Bogota?

Junior starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,648).

Junior win52 %
Draw26 %
Internacional de Bogota win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Junior have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Internacional de Bogota have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Junior
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Once Caldas(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Millonarios(home)0-1Primera A
Jul 29, 2026Barranquilla(away)3-3Copa Colombia
Jul 26, 2026Deportes Tolima(away)1-2Primera A
Jul 23, 2026Barranquilla(home)2-2Copa Colombia
Internacional de Bogota
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Deportivo Cali(away)2-2Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Cucuta(away)1-1Primera A
Aug 8, 2026Deportes Tolima(away)1-2Primera A
Aug 5, 2026Jaguares(home)1-0Primera A
Jul 29, 2026Internacional Palmira(away)2-1Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Junior win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Internacional de Bogota win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2026Internacional de Bogota 0-1 JuniorPrimera A
Sep 13, 2025Junior 1-1 Internacional de BogotaPrimera A
Apr 1, 2025Internacional de Bogota 0-1 JuniorPrimera A
Oct 12, 2024Internacional de Bogota 1-0 JuniorPrimera A
Mar 30, 2024Junior 1-0 Internacional de BogotaPrimera A
Aug 20, 2023Internacional de Bogota 0-0 JuniorPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Internacional de Bogota vs Junior on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Internacional de Bogota score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Junior1.51.539/158/15
Internacional de Bogota1.31.7310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Junior sit 2nd in Primera A (35 points from 19 matches) and Internacional de Bogota sit 8th (28 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Junior191126312435
2Junior251357382844
8Internacional de Bogota19775262628
8Internacional de Bogota21777283528
13Internacional de Bogota5122575
18Junior3012241

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Junior vs Internacional de Bogota?
The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Internacional de Bogota.
Where and when is Junior vs Internacional de Bogota played?
Junior vs Internacional de Bogota is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Junior and Internacional de Bogota

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