Match

Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima: result 3-2 and analysis

Primera AClausura - 14Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 09:05 PM (UTC)Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, Montería

Jaguares
3-2
Deportes Tolima

Full time

What was the result of Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?

Jaguares won 3-2 on October 11, 2026.

Goalscorers

  • 40′L. JiménezJaguares
  • 67′E. BeltránJaguares
  • 77′A. ParraDeportes Tolima
  • 87′A. ParraDeportes Tolima
  • 90′D. LópezJaguares

What had the model predicted before the match?

Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Deportes Tolima win at 60%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 0-1. Actual score: 3-2.

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

Official lineup for Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima

The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.

Jaguares

4-2-3-1
  1. 11A. Rentería
  1. 9J. Mejia
  2. 10C. Álvarez
  3. 7W. De La Rosa
  1. 21R. Bustamante
  2. 5R. Colpa
  1. 18L. Jiménez
  2. 29C. Henao
  3. 6J. Lovera
  4. 4J. Franco
  1. 12F. Mosquera

Deportes Tolima

5-3-2
  1. 15Sergio Aguayo
  2. 24A. Parra
  1. 32S. Guzmán
  2. 20J. Hernández
  3. 8E. Valencia
  1. 30S. P. Barbosa Gomez
  2. 80B. Rovira
  3. 2A. Angulo
  4. 14H. Martínez
  5. 33J. Mosquera
  1. 1Neto Volpi
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What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaguares have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Deportes Tolima have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jaguares
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Águilas Doradas(away)0-2Primera A
Sep 27, 2026Alianza Valledupar(home)1-2Primera A
Sep 22, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)1-2Primera A
Sep 11, 2026Fortaleza FC(home)2-2Primera A
Sep 6, 2026Junior(away)3-3Primera A
Deportes Tolima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 8, 2026Atletico Nacional(away)0-0Primera A
Oct 3, 2026Chico(home)0-0Primera A
Sep 27, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)2-2Primera A
Sep 20, 2026America de Cali(home)1-1Primera A
Sep 16, 2026Once Caldas(away)0-1Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Jaguares wins, 2 draws, 4 Deportes Tolima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Deportes Tolima 3-1 JaguaresPrimera A
Aug 19, 2024Jaguares 0-2 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
Feb 15, 2024Deportes Tolima 2-0 JaguaresPrimera A
Oct 6, 2023Jaguares 0-1 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
Apr 26, 2023Deportes Tolima 1-1 JaguaresPrimera A
Aug 6, 2022Deportes Tolima 2-2 JaguaresPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jaguares score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Tolima score 1.0 and concede 1.2.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Jaguares1.01.537/158/15
Deportes Tolima1.01.239/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jaguares sit 19th in Primera A (13 points from 18 matches) and Deportes Tolima sit 9th (26 points from 18 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Deportes Tolima18756232126
19Jaguares183411173513

A question about Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

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