Laredo vs Burgos: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Campo San Lorenzo, Laredo
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Laredo. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,659 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Laredo vs Burgos?
Burgos starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,935).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Laredo vs Burgos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Laredo
Not enough data to predict the Laredo lineup.
Burgos
4-4-2- 7Jon Karrikaburu
- 16Curro Sánchez
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 4P. Galdames
- 14David González
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 2Álex
- 13Ander Cantero
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 11:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Laredo have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Burgos have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cayón(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Guarnizo(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vimenor(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barquereño(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Naval Reinosa(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Laredo score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laredo | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Burgos | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Laredo vs Burgos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Laredo vs Burgos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Laredo.
- Where and when is Laredo vs Burgos played?
- Laredo vs Burgos is played on October 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Campo San Lorenzo, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.