Altglienicke vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Friedrich-Ludwig-Jahn-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Altglienicke the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Lokomotive Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Altglienicke vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Altglienicke (1,955) and Lokomotive Leipzig (1,971).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altglienicke have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 3-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Altglienicke win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Altglienicke 2-3 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Altglienicke 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Altglienicke 2-0 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Altglienicke vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Altglienicke score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altglienicke | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Altglienicke sit 3rd in Regionalliga - Nordost (11 points from 5 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Altglienicke | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Altglienicke vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Altglienicke the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Lokomotive Leipzig.
- Where and when is Altglienicke vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?
- Altglienicke vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Friedrich-Ludwig-Jahn-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027FSV ZwickauvsBFC Preussen
- May 9, 2027Hallescher FCvsMagdeburg II
- May 9, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsErzgebirge Aue
- May 9, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsTasmania Berlin
- May 9, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- May 9, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsGreifswalder FC
- May 9, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsLuckenwalde
- May 9, 2027RSV EintrachtvsBFC Dynamo