Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chemnitz, Chemnitz
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin?
Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chemnitzer FC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Chemnitzer FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2022 | Chemnitzer FC 5-0 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Tasmania Berlin 0-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin on May 15, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Tasmania Berlin.
- Where and when is Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin played?
- Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chemnitz, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027FSV ZwickauvsBFC Preussen
- May 9, 2027Hallescher FCvsMagdeburg II
- May 9, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsErzgebirge Aue
- May 9, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- May 9, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsGreifswalder FC
- May 9, 2027AltglienickevsLokomotive Leipzig
- May 9, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsLuckenwalde
- May 9, 2027RSV EintrachtvsBFC Dynamo