Match

Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chemnitz, Chemnitz

Chemnitzer FCTasmania Berlin

The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin?

Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,818).

Chemnitzer FC win59 %
Draw22 %
Tasmania Berlin win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chemnitzer FC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chemnitzer FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(away)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026Hallescher FC(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026FSV Zwickau(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026BFC Preussen(home)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Tasmania Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Luckenwalde(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)0-6Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-5Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Chemnitzer FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 15, 2022Chemnitzer FC 5-0 Tasmania BerlinRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 28, 2021Tasmania Berlin 0-2 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin on May 15, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chemnitzer FC2.41.069/1512/15
Tasmania Berlin2.32.539/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Chemnitzer FC651015216
16Tasmania Berlin51046183

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin?
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Tasmania Berlin.
Where and when is Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin played?
Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chemnitz, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chemnitzer FC and Tasmania Berlin

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