Match

America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 9Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali

America de CaliAlianza Valledupar

The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Alianza Valledupar. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?

America de Cali starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,646).

America de Cali win63 %
Draw24 %
Alianza Valledupar win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America de Cali have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Alianza Valledupar have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

America de Cali
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Santa Fe(away)0-0Primera A
Aug 10, 2026Atletico Nacional(home)1-0Primera A
Aug 6, 2026Once Caldas(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Chico(home)7-0Primera A
Jul 30, 2026Real Cartagena(away)1-1Copa Colombia
Alianza Valledupar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Cucuta(away)0-1Primera A
Aug 22, 2026Deportivo Pereira(home)0-0Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Bucaramanga(home)2-3Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Deportes Tolima(home)1-2Primera A
Jul 26, 2026Fortaleza FC(home)1-1Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 America de Cali win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Alianza Valledupar win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Alianza Valledupar 0-3 America de CaliPrimera A
Aug 31, 2025Alianza Valledupar 1-0 America de CaliPrimera A
Mar 15, 2025America de Cali 3-0 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
Sep 23, 2024Alianza Valledupar 0-1 America de CaliPrimera A
Mar 10, 2024America de Cali 2-0 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
Mar 7, 2024Alianza Valledupar 2-1 America de CaliCONMEBOL Sudamericana

Last archived meeting: Alianza Valledupar vs America de Cali on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

America de Cali score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
America de Cali1.30.885/154/15
Alianza Valledupar1.11.148/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

America de Cali sit 4th in Primera A (33 points from 19 matches) and Alianza Valledupar sit 17th (17 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1America de Cali541011013
4America de Cali191036251533
6America de Cali211047262034
17Alianza Valledupar19388132717
17Alianza Valledupar5023472
17Alianza Valledupar19388132717

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Alianza Valledupar.
Where and when is America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar played?
America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: America de Cali and Alianza Valledupar

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