Where and when is Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC played?

Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 9Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.

Santa Fe

Fortaleza FC

The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Fortaleza FC. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC?

Santa Fe starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,687).

Santa Fe win61 %

Draw25 %

Fortaleza FC win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Fe have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Fortaleza FC have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santa Fe
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	America de Cali(home)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 20, 2026	River Plate(home)	0-0	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 8, 2026	Chico(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 6, 2026	Union Magdalena(home)	2-0	Copa Colombia
Aug 3, 2026	Once Caldas(home)	2-2	Primera A

Fortaleza FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Cucuta(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Llaneros(away)	1-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	1-1	Primera A
May 29, 2026	Cucuta(away)	0-0	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Santa Fe win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fortaleza FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 7, 2026	Fortaleza FC 1-1 Santa Fe	Primera A
Dec 3, 2025	Fortaleza FC 1-2 Santa Fe	Primera A
Nov 22, 2025	Santa Fe 3-0 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Aug 23, 2025	Fortaleza FC 2-0 Santa Fe	Primera A
Mar 9, 2025	Santa Fe 2-0 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Sep 22, 2024	Fortaleza FC 1-3 Santa Fe	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Fortaleza FC vs Santa Fe on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Santa Fe	1.5	0.5	9	6/15	5/15
Fortaleza FC	1.2	1.1	4	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santa Fe sit 7th in Primera A (29 points from 19 matches) and Fortaleza FC sit 15th (22 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Santa Fe	23	8	11	4	35	24	35
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	29
10	Santa Fe	4	1	2	1	5	4	5
11	Fortaleza FC	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC?: The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Fortaleza FC.
Where and when is Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC played?: Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.