Match

Junior vs Jaguares: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 9Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla

JuniorJaguares

The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Jaguares. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Junior vs Jaguares?

Junior starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,633).

Junior win60 %
Draw24 %
Jaguares win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Junior have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Jaguares have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Junior
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 2, 2026Millonarios(home)0-1Primera A
Jul 29, 2026Barranquilla(away)3-3Copa Colombia
Jul 26, 2026Deportes Tolima(away)1-2Primera A
Jul 23, 2026Barranquilla(home)2-2Copa Colombia
Jun 8, 2026Atletico Nacional(away)0-1Primera A
Jaguares
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chico(home)1-0Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Once Caldas(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 5, 2026Internacional de Bogota(away)0-1Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Atletico Nacional(home)0-3Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Deportivo Cali(away)0-2Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Junior win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Jaguares win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Jaguares 0-2 JuniorPrimera A
Sep 29, 2024Jaguares 1-1 JuniorPrimera A
Mar 16, 2024Junior 3-1 JaguaresPrimera A
Sep 29, 2023Jaguares 0-0 JuniorPrimera A
Apr 23, 2023Junior 1-0 JaguaresPrimera A
Oct 30, 2022Jaguares 0-2 JuniorPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Jaguares vs Junior on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Junior score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jaguares score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Junior1.41.638/158/15
Jaguares1.01.356/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Junior sit 2nd in Primera A (35 points from 19 matches) and Jaguares sit 16th (18 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Junior191126312435
2Junior251357382844
14Jaguares5113274
16Jaguares195311203318
16Jaguares195311203318
18Junior2002130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Junior vs Jaguares?
The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Jaguares.
Where and when is Junior vs Jaguares played?
Junior vs Jaguares is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Junior and Jaguares

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