Where and when is Chico vs Once Caldas played?

Chico vs Once Caldas is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Independencia, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chico vs Once Caldas: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 9Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Independencia, Tunja

Chico

Once Caldas

The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Chico. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chico vs Once Caldas?

Once Caldas starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,581).

Chico win29 %

Draw29 %

Once Caldas win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chico have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Once Caldas have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chico
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Jaguares(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Santa Fe(away)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	America de Cali(away)	0-7	Primera A
May 27, 2026	Llaneros(home)	0-1	Copa Colombia
May 23, 2026	Millonarios(away)	2-2	Copa Colombia

Once Caldas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Junior(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Jaguares(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 6, 2026	America de Cali(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 3, 2026	Santa Fe(away)	2-2	Primera A
Jul 30, 2026	Envigado(away)	3-0	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chico win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Once Caldas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	Once Caldas 3-0 Chico	Primera A
Sep 26, 2025	Once Caldas 5-2 Chico	Primera A
Apr 13, 2025	Chico 0-0 Once Caldas	Primera A
Jul 16, 2024	Chico 0-1 Once Caldas	Primera A
Jan 20, 2024	Once Caldas 2-1 Chico	Primera A
Oct 9, 2023	Chico 2-1 Once Caldas	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Once Caldas vs Chico on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chico score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Once Caldas score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chico	0.8	1.7	5	2/15	6/15
Once Caldas	1.6	0.9	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chico sit 18th in Primera A (17 points from 19 matches) and Once Caldas sit 5th (33 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	33
5	Once Caldas	21	8	10	3	33	25	34
9	Once Caldas	5	1	3	1	9	6	6
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	17
20	Chico	3	0	0	3	0	10	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chico vs Once Caldas?: The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Chico.
Where and when is Chico vs Once Caldas played?: Chico vs Once Caldas is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Independencia, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.