Match

Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 9Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta

CucutaDeportivo Pasto

The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Deportivo Pasto. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Cucuta (1,637) and Deportivo Pasto (1,666).

Cucuta win42 %
Draw28 %
Deportivo Pasto win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cucuta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Pasto have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cucuta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 8, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)0-2Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Bucaramanga(away)1-1Primera A
Jul 27, 2026Once Caldas(away)1-5Primera A
Deportivo Pasto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Llaneros(home)0-1Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Cali(home)0-2Primera A
Aug 5, 2026Millonarios(away)0-2Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Águilas Doradas(home)1-2Primera A
Jul 29, 2026Bogota FC(away)3-0Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Cucuta win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Deportivo Pasto win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026Deportivo Pasto 3-2 CucutaPrimera A
Feb 17, 2020Cucuta 0-0 Deportivo PastoPrimera A
Sep 28, 2019Deportivo Pasto 2-1 CucutaPrimera A
Apr 3, 2019Cucuta 1-3 Deportivo PastoPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Pasto score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cucuta0.71.366/153/15
Deportivo Pasto1.01.636/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cucuta sit 19th in Primera A (16 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd (34 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Deportivo Pasto191045292534
7Deportivo Pasto211047292834
14Cucuta5122495
19Deportivo Pasto50053100
19Cucuta19379223516
19Cucuta19379223516

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto?
The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Deportivo Pasto.
Where and when is Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto played?
Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cucuta and Deportivo Pasto

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