Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 9Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta
The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Deportivo Pasto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Cucuta (1,637) and Deportivo Pasto (1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cucuta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Pasto have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-5 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bogota FC(away) | 3-0 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Cucuta win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Deportivo Pasto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto 3-2 Cucuta | Primera A |
| Feb 17, 2020 | Cucuta 0-0 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Cucuta | Primera A |
| Apr 3, 2019 | Cucuta 1-3 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Pasto score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Deportivo Pasto | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cucuta sit 19th in Primera A (16 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd (34 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 34 |
| 14 | Cucuta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto?
- The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Deportivo Pasto.
- Where and when is Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto played?
- Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 6, 2026BucaramangavsIndependiente Medellin
- Sep 6, 2026ChicovsOnce Caldas
- Sep 6, 2026Internacional de BogotavsÁguilas Doradas
- Sep 6, 2026JuniorvsJaguares
- Sep 6, 2026Atletico NacionalvsDeportes Tolima
- Sep 6, 2026America de CalivsAlianza Valledupar
- Sep 6, 2026Santa FevsFortaleza FC
- Sep 6, 2026Deportivo PereiravsMillonarios