Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 9Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas, Pereira
The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Deportivo Pereira. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios?
Millonarios starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Pereira have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Millonarios have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Llaneros(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| May 26, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 1-0 | Copa Colombia |
| May 21, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Junior(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo Pereira win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Millonarios win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Millonarios 5-1 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Deportivo Pereira 3-2 Millonarios | Primera A |
| May 9, 2025 | Millonarios 0-0 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Millonarios 0-0 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| May 25, 2024 | Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Millonarios | Primera A |
| May 12, 2024 | Millonarios 1-0 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Pereira score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | 0.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Millonarios | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Pereira sit 20th in Primera A (10 points from 19 matches) and Millonarios sit 10th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Millonarios | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 26 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 26 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios?
- The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Deportivo Pereira.
- Where and when is Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios played?
- Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 6, 2026BucaramangavsIndependiente Medellin
- Sep 6, 2026ChicovsOnce Caldas
- Sep 6, 2026Internacional de BogotavsÁguilas Doradas
- Sep 6, 2026JuniorvsJaguares
- Sep 6, 2026Atletico NacionalvsDeportes Tolima
- Sep 6, 2026America de CalivsAlianza Valledupar
- Sep 6, 2026Santa FevsFortaleza FC
- Sep 6, 2026LlanerosvsDeportivo Cali