São Bernardo vs Criciuma: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Primeiro de Maio, São Bernardo do Campo, São Paulo
The Footlab AI model makes Criciuma the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for São Bernardo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Criciuma wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Criciuma?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate São Bernardo (1,764) and Criciuma (1,783).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for São Bernardo vs Criciuma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
São Bernardo
3-4-3- 29Pedrinho
- 9Felipe Garcia
- 10Fabrício Daniel
- 26Eduardo
- 2Rodrigo Ferreira
- 6Pará
- 14Lucas Lima
- 35Jemerson
- 97Augusto
- 90Luizão
- 1Alex Alves
Criciuma
4-3-3- 10Jhonata Robert
- 9Nicolas
- 91R. Otero
- 14Ronald
- 7Fellipe Mateus
- 41Jean Irmer
- 4Luciano Castán
- 22Marcelo Hermes
- 3Rodrigo
- 6Marcinho
- 32Airton
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Bernardo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Criciuma have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventude(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | CRB(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Avai(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 São Bernardo wins, 0 draws, 1 Criciuma win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Criciuma 1-0 São Bernardo | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Criciuma vs São Bernardo on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
São Bernardo score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Criciuma score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Bernardo | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Criciuma | 0.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
São Bernardo sit 12th in Serie B (46 points from 33 matches) and Criciuma sit 5th (56 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 56 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 36 | 46 |
A question about São Bernardo vs Criciuma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for São Bernardo vs Criciuma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Criciuma the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for São Bernardo.
- Where and when is São Bernardo vs Criciuma played?
- São Bernardo vs Criciuma is played on October 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Primeiro de Maio, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.