Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas, São Paulo
The Footlab model makes Atletico Goianiense the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Ponte Preta. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense?
Atletico Goianiense starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ponte Preta have 0 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats; Atletico Goianiense have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Avai(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Vila Nova(away) | 0-6 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ponte Preta win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Atletico Goianiense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense 2-0 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Ponte Preta | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Ponte Preta 0-2 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| Jun 23, 2023 | Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Atletico Goianiense 0-0 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Jul 17, 2019 | Ponte Preta 0-0 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ponte Preta score 0.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Goianiense score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico Goianiense | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ponte Preta sit 20th in Serie B (10 points from 24 matches) and Atletico Goianiense sit 11th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Atletico Goianiense | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 33 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 50 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Goianiense the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Ponte Preta.
- Where and when is Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense played?
- Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense is played on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.