Ceara vs Juventude: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Juventude. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ceara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceara vs Juventude?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Ceara (1,739) and Juventude (1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceara vs Juventude
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceara
4-2-3-1- 73Saulo Mineiro
- 81Joao Gabriel
- 8Matheus Araújo
- 25Vinicius Zanocelo
- 60Enzo
- 29Vina
- 4Luiz Otávio
- 13Luiz Otávio
- 18Júlio
- 12Sanchez
- 1Richard
Juventude
3-4-3- 11Fábio Lima
- 25Alisson Safira
- 44Mandaca
- 75Raí
- 16Diogo Barbosa
- 29Gabriel Pires
- 13Aderlan
- 34Rodrigo Sam
- 4Messias
- 47Marcos Paulo
- 93Jandrei
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Juventude have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Novorizontino(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 28, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ceara win, 0 draws, 5 Juventude wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Juventude 2-0 Ceara | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Ceara 0-1 Juventude | Serie A |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Juventude 2-1 Ceara | Serie A |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Ceara 1-3 Juventude | Serie B |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Juventude 1-0 Ceara | Serie B |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Ceara 4-1 Juventude | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Juventude score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Juventude | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 14th in Serie B (42 points from 33 matches) and Juventude sit 3rd (60 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 21 | 60 |
| 14 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 40 | 42 |
A question about Ceara vs Juventude?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceara vs Juventude?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Juventude.
- Where and when is Ceara vs Juventude played?
- Ceara vs Juventude is played on October 17, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.