Antequera vs Águilas: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Maulí, Antequera
The Footlab model makes Antequera the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Águilas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antequera vs Águilas?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Antequera (1,896) and Águilas (1,973).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antequera have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Águilas have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Antequera score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antequera | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Águilas | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Antequera | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 44 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antequera vs Águilas?
- The Footlab model makes Antequera the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Águilas.
- Where and when is Antequera vs Águilas played?
- Antequera vs Águilas is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Maulí, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.