UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo?
UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,773).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UD Logroñés
4-3-3- 21Ismael Santana
- 11Marcos Baselga
- 19I. Asenjo
- 14David Navarro
- 20Anai Morales
- 6Mario Maroto
- 3Sergio Camacho
- 5A. Alvarez
- 4Eduardo Cabetas
- 22Carlos García-Die
- 13Fermín Sobrón
Arenas Getxo
4-3-3- 9José Luis Cortés
- 23Álex Oyón
- 10Martin Pedroarena
- 16Gael Akogo Esono
- 6I. Garcia
- 21I. Telletxea
- 18Rubi
- 3A. Lekuna
- 5J. Zubelzu
- 2J. Larrauri
- 1Manuel Obón
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Arenas Getxo have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 5-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Athletic Club II(home) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cacereño(away) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 UD Logroñés wins, 1 draw, 2 Arenas Getxo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Arenas Getxo 1-0 UD Logroñés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | UD Logroñés 0-0 Arenas Getxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Arenas Getxo 2-1 UD Logroñés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | UD Logroñés 5-1 Arenas Getxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Arenas Getxo 1-2 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2019 | UD Logroñés 4-0 Arenas Getxo | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs UD Logroñés on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Getxo score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Arenas Getxo | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UD Logroñés sit 1st in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (16 points from 6 matches) and Arenas Getxo sit 20th (2 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logroñés | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 2 |
A question about UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo?
- The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Arenas Getxo.
- Where and when is UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo played?
- UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.