Match

Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Masjed Soleyman: prediction and stats

Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Imam Khomeini Stadium, Eslamshahr

Ario EslamshahrNaft Masjed Soleyman

The Footlab model makes Ario Eslamshahr the favourite at 39%, against 38% for a draw and 22% for Naft Masjed Soleyman. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Ario Eslamshahr (1,585) and Naft Masjed Soleyman (1,543).

Ario Eslamshahr win39 %
Draw38 %
Naft Masjed Soleyman win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ario Eslamshahr have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Naft Masjed Soleyman have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ario Eslamshahr
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 17, 2026Nassaji Mazandaran(away)2-1Azadegan League
Jul 11, 2026Shenavarsazi Qeshm(home)1-1Azadegan League
Jul 3, 2026Damash Gilanian(away)1-1Azadegan League
Jun 27, 2026Be'sat Kermanshah(home)2-0Azadegan League
Jun 21, 2026Saipa(away)0-1Azadegan League
Naft Masjed Soleyman
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 18, 2025Be'sat Kermanshah(home)2-0Azadegan League
May 12, 2025Niroye Zamini(away)0-2Azadegan League
May 6, 2025Fajr Sepasi(home)2-1Azadegan League
Apr 30, 2025Naft Bandar Abbas(away)1-0Azadegan League
Apr 22, 2025Shahrdari Astara(home)6-0Azadegan League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ario Eslamshahr win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Naft Masjed Soleyman win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2025Ario Eslamshahr 3-1 Naft Masjed SoleymanAzadegan League
Nov 10, 2024Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-1 Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League
Feb 21, 2024Ario Eslamshahr 0-0 Naft Masjed SoleymanAzadegan League
Sep 17, 2023Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-2 Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League

Last archived meeting: Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Masjed Soleyman on Apr 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ario Eslamshahr score 0.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Naft Masjed Soleyman score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 18% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ario Eslamshahr0.60.584/151/15
Naft Masjed Soleyman1.31.076/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Ario Eslamshahr297148131435

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?
The Footlab model makes Ario Eslamshahr the favourite at 39%, against 38% for a draw and 22% for Naft Masjed Soleyman.
Where and when is Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Masjed Soleyman played?
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Masjed Soleyman is played on September 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Imam Khomeini Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 18% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ario Eslamshahr and Naft Masjed Soleyman

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