Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Takhti Stadium, Jam
The Footlab model makes Pars Jonoubi JAM the favourite at 67%, against 25% for a draw and 9% for Shenavarsazi Qeshm. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm?
Pars Jonoubi JAM starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,479).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pars Jonoubi JAM have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Shenavarsazi Qeshm have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(away) | 2-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(home) | 4-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Niroye Zamini(away) | 3-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Navad Urmia(home) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Mes Kerman(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(home) | 1-3 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mes Soongoun(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(home) | 4-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Pars Jonoubi JAM win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1-2 Pars Jonoubi JAM | Azadegan League |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Pars Jonoubi JAM 2-0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Pars Jonoubi JAM on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pars Jonoubi JAM score 1.6 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Shenavarsazi Qeshm score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pars Jonoubi JAM | 1.6 | 0.4 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pars Jonoubi JAM sit 5th in Azadegan League (44 points from 29 matches) and Shenavarsazi Qeshm sit 14th (27 points from 29 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pars Jonoubi JAM | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 44 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 29 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm?
- The Footlab model makes Pars Jonoubi JAM the favourite at 67%, against 25% for a draw and 9% for Shenavarsazi Qeshm.
- Where and when is Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm played?
- Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm is played on September 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Takhti Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.