Be'sat Kermanshah vs Naft Gachsaran: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Be'sat Kermanshah the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Naft Gachsaran. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Be'sat Kermanshah vs Naft Gachsaran?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Be'sat Kermanshah (1,491) and Naft Gachsaran (1,481).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Be'sat Kermanshah have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Naft Gachsaran have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Pars Jonoubi JAM(home) | 1-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Fard Alborz(home) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(away) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Havadar(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(home) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Havadar(away) | 2-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Mes Soongoun(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(home) | 0-3 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm(away) | 2-4 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Be'sat Kermanshah win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Naft Gachsaran win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran 0-0 Be'sat Kermanshah | Azadegan League |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Be'sat Kermanshah 0-1 Naft Gachsaran | Hazfi Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Be'sat Kermanshah 2-1 Naft Gachsaran | Azadegan League |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Naft Gachsaran 0-0 Be'sat Kermanshah | Azadegan League |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Be'sat Kermanshah 3-0 Naft Gachsaran | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Naft Gachsaran vs Be'sat Kermanshah on Jun 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Be'sat Kermanshah score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Naft Gachsaran score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Be'sat Kermanshah | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Naft Gachsaran | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Be'sat Kermanshah sit 10th in Azadegan League (35 points from 29 matches) and Naft Gachsaran sit 13th (31 points from 29 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Be'sat Kermanshah | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 35 |
| 13 | Naft Gachsaran | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Be'sat Kermanshah vs Naft Gachsaran?
- The Footlab model makes Be'sat Kermanshah the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Naft Gachsaran.
- Where and when is Be'sat Kermanshah vs Naft Gachsaran played?
- Be'sat Kermanshah vs Naft Gachsaran is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.