Mes Rafsanjan vs Havadar: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Shohada Mes Rafsanjan Stadium, Rafsanjan
The Footlab model makes Mes Rafsanjan the favourite at 37%, against 37% for a draw and 26% for Havadar. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mes Rafsanjan vs Havadar?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Mes Rafsanjan (1,617) and Havadar (1,623).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mes Rafsanjan have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Havadar have 5, 9 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(home) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Paykan(away) | 2-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Esteghlal Khuzestan(home) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Shams Azar Qazvin(away) | 0-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Jan 28, 2026 | ZOB Ahan(home) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(home) | 2-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(home) | 4-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Mes Kerman(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mes Rafsanjan win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Havadar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2025 | Havadar 0-4 Mes Rafsanjan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 Havadar | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 Havadar | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 10, 2023 | Havadar 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Havadar 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Havadar 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan | Hazfi Cup |
Last archived meeting: Havadar vs Mes Rafsanjan on Apr 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mes Rafsanjan score 0.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Havadar score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mes Rafsanjan | 0.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Havadar | 0.9 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Havadar | 29 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mes Rafsanjan vs Havadar?
- The Footlab model makes Mes Rafsanjan the favourite at 37%, against 37% for a draw and 26% for Havadar.
- Where and when is Mes Rafsanjan vs Havadar played?
- Mes Rafsanjan vs Havadar is played on September 16, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Shohada Mes Rafsanjan Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.