Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Fard Alborz, 40% for a draw, 27% for Mes Kerman. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Fard Alborz (1,574) and Mes Kerman (1,572).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fard Alborz have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mes Kerman have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Saipa(home) | 2-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Niroye Zamini(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sanat Naft(away) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Naft Bandar Abbas(home) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Shahrdari Noshahr(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Pars Jonoubi JAM(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Havadar(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Fard Alborz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mes Kerman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2026 | Fard Alborz 0-2 Mes Kerman | Azadegan League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Mes Kerman 0-0 Fard Alborz | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman on Jun 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fard Alborz score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mes Kerman score 0.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 17% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fard Alborz | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Mes Kerman | 0.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fard Alborz sit 8th in Azadegan League (36 points from 29 matches) and Mes Kerman sit 7th (39 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mes Kerman | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 15 | 39 |
| 8 | Fard Alborz | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 13 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Fard Alborz, 40% for a draw, 27% for Mes Kerman.
- Where and when is Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman played?
- Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman is played on September 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 17% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.