Saipa vs Mes Soongoun: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, Teheran
The Footlab model makes Saipa the favourite at 57%, against 33% for a draw and 10% for Mes Soongoun. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saipa vs Mes Soongoun?
Saipa starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,649 vs 1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saipa have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Mes Soongoun have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Naft Bandar Abbas(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Navad Urmia(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Shahrdari Noshahr(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fard Alborz(away) | 1-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Shahrdari Noshahr(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Saipa win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Mes Soongoun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Saipa 0-0 Mes Soongoun | Azadegan League |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Mes Soongoun 0-1 Saipa | Azadegan League |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Mes Soongoun 2-1 Saipa | Azadegan League |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Saipa 1-2 Mes Soongoun | Azadegan League |
| May 8, 2024 | Mes Soongoun 1-1 Saipa | Azadegan League |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Saipa 0-1 Mes Soongoun | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Saipa vs Mes Soongoun on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saipa score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mes Soongoun score 0.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 18% probability of over 2.5 goals and 19% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saipa | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Mes Soongoun | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saipa sit 4th in Azadegan League (47 points from 29 matches) and Mes Soongoun sit 15th (25 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Saipa | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 47 |
| 15 | Mes Soongoun | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 32 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saipa vs Mes Soongoun?
- The Footlab model makes Saipa the favourite at 57%, against 33% for a draw and 10% for Mes Soongoun.
- Where and when is Saipa vs Mes Soongoun played?
- Saipa vs Mes Soongoun is played on September 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 18% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.