Pogoń Siedlce vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Podbeskidzie?
Podbeskidzie starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Podbeskidzie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2023 | Pogoń Siedlce 1-3 Podbeskidzie | Cup |
| Sep 25, 2019 | Pogoń Siedlce 1-0 Podbeskidzie | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Podbeskidzie on Sep 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Siedlce | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 | Pogoń Siedlce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Podbeskidzie?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Pogoń Siedlce.
- Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Podbeskidzie played?
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Podbeskidzie is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Miedz LegnicavsOdra Opole
- Apr 10, 2027Lechia GdanskvsStal Rzeszów
- Apr 10, 2027NiecieczavsUnia Skierniewice
- Apr 10, 2027Warta PoznańvsStal Mielec
- Apr 10, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsŁKS Łódź
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia BytomvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Apr 10, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsChrobry Głogów
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia WarszawavsArka Gdynia