Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe
The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Karlsruher SC (1,953) and SV Darmstadt 98 (1,986).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlsruher SC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; SV Darmstadt 98 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 7-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karlsruher SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 SV Darmstadt 98 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Karlsruher SC 2-1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SV Darmstadt 98 3-2 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SV Darmstadt 98 3-0 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Karlsruher SC 3-3 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Karlsruher SC 0-0 SV Darmstadt 98 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 21, 2023 | SV Darmstadt 98 2-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SV Darmstadt 98 score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlsruher SC | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlsruher SC sit 3rd in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and SV Darmstadt 98 sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98?
- The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Karlsruher SC.
- Where and when is Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 played?
- Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at BBBank Wildpark, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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