Match

Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus

Energie Cottbus1. FC Nürnberg

The Footlab AI model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for 1. FC Nürnberg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Energie Cottbus wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Energie Cottbus (1,990) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,058).

42%25%33%
Energie Cottbus winDraw1. FC Nürnberg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Energie Cottbus

4-2-3-1
  1. 31J. Butler
  1. 10T. Ciğerci
  2. 8Lukas Michelbrink
  3. 32L. Bittencourt
  4. 9L. Copado
  5. 11M. Hannemann
  1. 2K. Manu
  2. 3H. Rorig
  3. 21Luca Erlein
  4. 20A. Borgmann
  1. 1M. Lotka

1. FC Nürnberg

4-2-3-1
  1. 19P. Scobel
  1. 10J. Justvan
  2. 8J. Fernandez
  3. 23M. Zoma
  4. 6A. Marhiev
  5. 22F. Becker
  1. 20F. Otto
  2. 4A. Kalogeropoulos
  3. 32T. Janisch
  4. 41E. Porstner
  1. 1J. Reichert

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Energie Cottbus have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 10, 5 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Energie Cottbus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Lech Poznan(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)3-02. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(away)4-42. Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)3-42. Bundesliga
1. FC Nürnberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026Hannover 96(home)2-12. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Holstein Kiel(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)4-12. Bundesliga

How many goals should we expect?

Energie Cottbus score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Energie Cottbus1.91.9211/1511/15
1. FC Nürnberg3.11.3312/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Energie Cottbus sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (8 points from 6 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
21. FC Nürnberg651016616
7Energie Cottbus622214138

A question about Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The Footlab AI model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?
Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg

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