Match

Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus

Energie Cottbus1. FC Nürnberg

The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for 1. FC Nürnberg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Energie Cottbus (1,974) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,015).

Energie Cottbus win40 %
Draw26 %
1. FC Nürnberg win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Energie Cottbus have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Energie Cottbus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Augsburg(home)0-2DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Hannover 96(home)3-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Werder Bremen(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Nürnberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)4-22. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Oviedo(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Palermo(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Energie Cottbus score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Energie Cottbus1.81.639/1510/15
1. FC Nürnberg2.71.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Energie Cottbus sit 8th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11. FC Nürnberg2200726
8Energie Cottbus2101343

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?
Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg

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