Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus
The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for 1. FC Nürnberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Energie Cottbus (1,974) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,015).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Energie Cottbus have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Augsburg(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hannover 96(home) | 3-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 4-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Energie Cottbus score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Energie Cottbus sit 8th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
- The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for 1. FC Nürnberg.
- Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?
- Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026VfL Wolfsburgvs1. FC Heidenheim
- Oct 17, 2026Hannover 96vsFC St. Pauli
- Oct 17, 2026SpVgg Greuther FürthvsEintracht Braunschweig
- Oct 17, 2026Dynamo Dresdenvs1. FC Magdeburg
- Oct 17, 2026Arminia BielefeldvsVfL Osnabrück
- Oct 17, 2026Holstein KielvsHertha BSC
- Oct 17, 20261. FC KaiserslauternvsVfL Bochum
- Oct 17, 2026Karlsruher SCvsSV Darmstadt 98