Match

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein KielHertha BSC

The Footlab AI model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?

Hertha BSC starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,970).

21%21%58%
Holstein Kiel winDrawHertha BSC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
  1. 19P. Harres
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 20A. Kaprálik
  3. 8G. Balzi
  4. 15K. Davidsen
  5. 10J. Therkelsen
  1. 26D. Zec
  2. 32H. Sekine
  3. 40Leon Parduzi
  4. 13I. Nekić
  1. 1T. Weiner

Hertha BSC

4-2-3-1
  1. 17S. Grønning
  1. 7J. Brekalo
  2. 8K. Sessa
  3. 30P. Seguin
  4. 23J. Þorsteinsson
  5. 19O. Adewumi
  1. 2J. Eitschberger
  2. 27N. Kolbe
  3. 44L. Gechter
  4. 22M. Pedersen
  1. 35M. Gersbeck

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hertha BSC have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Viborg(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 30, 20261. FC Magdeburg(away)0-22. Bundesliga
Hertha BSC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 29, 2026Hertha Zehlendorf(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)2-12. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)3-12. Bundesliga
Sep 6, 20261. FC Magdeburg(home)2-12. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Holstein Kiel win, 1 draw, 2 Hertha BSC wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Hertha BSC 0-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Nov 29, 2025Holstein Kiel 0-1 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
Mar 1, 2024Hertha BSC 2-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Sep 24, 2023Holstein Kiel 2-3 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC vs Holstein Kiel on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC score 3.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel1.51.7111/1511/15
Hertha BSC3.71.2312/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 6 matches) and Hertha BSC sit 1st (18 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Hertha BSC660017718
16Holstein Kiel60427104

A question about Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
The Footlab AI model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC played?
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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