Match

Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Heinz von Heiden-Arena, Hannover

Hannover 96FC St. Pauli

The Footlab AI model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hannover 96 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli?

Hannover 96 starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,081 vs 1,967).

61%21%18%
Hannover 96 winDrawFC St. Pauli win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hannover 96

3-4-3
  1. 10M. Hartel
  2. 25L. Gindorf
  3. 11B. Pichler
  1. 33M. Neubauer
  2. 29K. Oudenne
  3. 23S. Þórðarson
  4. 13F. Roggow
  1. 3B. Tomiak
  2. 17B. Allgeier
  3. 5V. Ghiță
  1. 30L. Weinkauf

FC St. Pauli

4-1-3-2
  1. 19M. Kaars
  2. 24C. Metcalfe
  1. 20M. Rasmussen
  2. 16J. Fujita
  3. 7Y. Niang
  4. 8E. Smith
  1. 4D. Nemeth
  2. 11A. Pyrka
  3. 23L. Oppie
  4. 15T. Ando
  1. 1B. Voll

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hannover 96 have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hannover 96
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Verl(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026VfL Bochum(home)2-12. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Sep 4, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)1-02. Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Sep 4, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 30, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern(home)1-22. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hannover 96 win, 2 draws, 3 FC St. Pauli wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 21, 2024Hannover 96 1-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Nov 10, 2023FC St. Pauli 0-0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
Mar 24, 2023FC St. Pauli 2-0 Hannover 96Friendlies Clubs
Feb 5, 2023FC St. Pauli 2-0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
Jul 23, 2022Hannover 96 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Feb 20, 2022FC St. Pauli 0-3 Hannover 962. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli on Apr 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Hannover 96 score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hannover 962.71.3410/1511/15
FC St. Pauli1.51.7113/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hannover 96 sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (7 points from 6 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 8th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8FC St. Pauli6141887
10Hannover 966213797

A question about Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli?
The Footlab AI model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli played?
Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Heinz von Heiden-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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