Where and when is Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli played?

Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Heinz von Heiden-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Heinz von Heiden-Arena, Hannover

Hannover 96

FC St. Pauli

The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli?

Hannover 96 starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (2,070 vs 1,967).

Hannover 96 win56 %

Draw23 %

FC St. Pauli win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hannover 96 have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hannover 96
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hemelingen(away)	9-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	0-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	1-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	PEC Zwolle(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hannover 96 win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC St. Pauli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 21, 2024	Hannover 96 1-2 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Nov 10, 2023	FC St. Pauli 0-0 Hannover 96	2. Bundesliga
Mar 24, 2023	FC St. Pauli 2-0 Hannover 96	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 5, 2023	FC St. Pauli 2-0 Hannover 96	2. Bundesliga
Jul 23, 2022	Hannover 96 2-2 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Feb 20, 2022	FC St. Pauli 0-3 Hannover 96	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli on Apr 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Hannover 96 score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hannover 96	2.7	1.1	5	9/15	8/15
FC St. Pauli	1.3	2.0	0	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hannover 96 sit 17th in 2. Bundesliga (0 points from 2 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
17	Hannover 96	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli?: The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli played?: Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Heinz von Heiden-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.