Match

Coruxo vs Arosa: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Vao, Vigo

CoruxoArosa

The Footlab model makes Coruxo the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Coruxo vs Arosa?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Coruxo (1,898) and Arosa (1,904).

Coruxo win42 %
Draw28 %
Arosa win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coruxo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Arosa have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Coruxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Pontevedra(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Lugo(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Atlético Baleares(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Atlético Baleares(home)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Arosa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Pontevedra(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Celtiga(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026Cambados(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Boiro(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Barco(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Coruxo win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Arosa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 27, 2022Coruxo 5-1 ArosaFriendlies Clubs
Feb 20, 2022Coruxo 3-0 ArosaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2021Arosa 0-1 CoruxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Coruxo vs Arosa on Aug 27, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Coruxo1.31.4211/1510/15
Arosa1.70.877/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Coruxo3415712463752

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Coruxo vs Arosa?
The Footlab model makes Coruxo the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Arosa.
Where and when is Coruxo vs Arosa played?
Coruxo vs Arosa is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Vao, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Coruxo and Arosa

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