ASC Kara vs ASEC Mimosas: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Kara
The Footlab model makes ASC Kara the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for ASEC Mimosas. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASC Kara vs ASEC Mimosas?
ASEC Mimosas starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASC Kara have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; ASEC Mimosas have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Renaissance Berkane(away) | 1-3 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Renaissance Berkane(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Gbohloé-su des Lacs(away) | 1-2 | Championnat National |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Entente II(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| May 25, 2025 | Unisport(away) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Olympique Sport d'Abobo(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Zoman(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | San-Pédro(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | ISCA(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 ASC Kara win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 ASEC Mimosas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | ASEC Mimosas 2-0 ASC Kara | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 15, 2024 | ASC Kara 2-1 ASEC Mimosas | CAF Confederation Cup |
Last archived meeting: ASEC Mimosas vs ASC Kara on Sep 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
ASC Kara score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; ASEC Mimosas score 1.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASC Kara | 1.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| ASEC Mimosas | 1.4 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASC Kara vs ASEC Mimosas?
- The Footlab model makes ASC Kara the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for ASEC Mimosas.
- Where and when is ASC Kara vs ASEC Mimosas played?
- ASC Kara vs ASEC Mimosas is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.