Racing Santander vs Barcelona: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander
The Footlab model makes Barcelona the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Barcelona?
Barcelona is a heavy favourite: 2,389 Elo points against 2,045 — a 344-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Barcelona have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Elche(away) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ahly(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Basel 1893(away) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Racing Santander win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Barcelona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Racing Santander 0-2 Barcelona | Copa del Rey |
| Mar 11, 2012 | Racing Santander 0-2 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Barcelona 3-0 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Jan 22, 2011 | Barcelona 3-0 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Aug 29, 2010 | Racing Santander 0-3 Barcelona | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander vs Barcelona on Jan 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Barcelona score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Barcelona | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Santander sit 14th in La Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Barcelona sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Racing Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander vs Barcelona?
- The Footlab model makes Barcelona the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Racing Santander vs Barcelona played?
- Racing Santander vs Barcelona is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.